Telecom Decision
CRTC 98-16
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Ottawa, 25 September 1998
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TELESAT CANADA - APPLICATION TO REVIEW
AND VARY TELECOM DECISION CRTC 97-17
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File No.: 8662-T3-01/98
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Paragraph Numbers |
TABLE OF
CONTENTS
I Background 1
II Disposition of Telesats Application
5
1. General 5
2. Detailed Consideration of the EES Methodology and Use
of Economic ROE 23
3. Detailed Consideration of the Evidence to Demonstrate
Flaws in the EES 38
III Disposition of Cancoms Request for Rate
Adjustments from 1 January to 9 February 1998 96
IV Disposition of Cancoms Summary Dismissal
Application 98
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I BACKGROUND
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1. On 4 February 1998, Telesat Canada
(Telesat) filed an application requesting a review and variance (R&V) of Telesat
Canada - Rate Review of RF Channel Services, Telecom Decision CRTC 97-17, 18 December 1997 (Decision 97-17). Specifically, the
company requested that the Commission review and vary Decision 97-17 such that the 7% RF Channel Service rate reduction
ordered therein be rescinded and replaced with a rate increase of 14.4%, effective
1 January 1998.
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2. Telesats request for a R&V of
Decision 97-17 is based on claims of errors in fact,
failure to consider a basic principle raised in the proceeding leading to Decision 97-17 and substantial doubt as to the correctness of that
Decision.
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3. The Commission notes
that Telesats application was filed prior to the Commissions new R&V
criteria enunciated in Guidelines for Review and Vary Applications, Telecom Public
Notice CRTC 98-6, 20 March 1998. Accordingly, the Commission has considered
Telesats R&V application under the criteria in effect at that time.
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4. Submissions and reply submissions were
filed by Telesat on 25 May 1998 and 8 June 1998, respectively, while submissions
were filed by Canadian Satellite Communications Inc. (Cancom) on 16 April 1998 and 1 June
1998, and by Canadian Satellite Users Association (CSUA) on 1 June 1998. In the
course of the proceeding, Telesat filed responses to interrogatories from the Commission,
Cancom, CSUA and the Canadian Cable Television Association. Cancom also filed responses to
interrogatories from Telesat concerning its expert evidence in this proceeding.
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II
DISPOSITION OF TELESATS APPLICATION
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1. General
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5. Telesat outlined the
following criteria upon which it has based its application for a R&V of Decision 97-17:
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(a) errors in fact:
because the current economic evaluation study (EES) model generates a downward systematic
bias in terms of allowing Telesat the opportunity to earn its allowed return on average
common equity (ROE) on a financial statement basis, application of the model in its
current form results in errors in fact;
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(b) failure to consider
a basic principle raised in the proceeding: because the current EES model effectively
precludes Telesat from earning its allowed ROE, a basic principle raised in the original
proceeding has not been adequately considered; and
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(c) substantial doubt as
to the correctness of the Decision: due to the discrepancy in ROE results, and in
light of the fact that Telesats RF Channel Service rates are among the lowest
in the world, even prior to Decision 97-17, there is
substantial doubt as to the correctness of Decision 97-17.
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6. Telesat stated that it became concerned
that it was not achieving its allowed ROE on an average annual financial statement basis
when observing its company-wide ROE. This concern led Telesat to investigate the
relationship between the EES and Space Segment financial statements.
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7. Telesat submitted that it was only in
late 1997 that it was able to develop a framework to explain the difference between the
results achieved under the EES and the financial statement results. Telesat stated that
while it is regrettable that the methodological problems associated with the current EES
model have only come to light late in the 10-year study period, it has now proposed a
compromise solution under which RF Channel Service rates would be increased by 14.4%
(relative to rates prior to Decision 97-17), effective
1 January 1998, instead of from the start of 1993, the date when Telesats rates
were first made interim.
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8. Telesat submitted that
this compromise provides rate relief for Telesat for the final three years of the study
period only, and effectively means that Telesats customers have been shielded for
some five years from a rate increase which would have permitted the company to earn its
allowed ROE over the entire 10-year study period.
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9. Cancom submitted that
based on its expert evidence filed in this proceeding, it has demonstrated that Telesat
has not met the Commissions criteria for a R&V of Decision 97-17. CSUA submitted that Telesats evidence falls
far short of proving the three grounds for R&V, and accordingly the application should
be denied.
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10. CSUA further submitted
that the application seriously undermines the Commissions ability to provide
regulatory certainty due to the attack on the finality of its decisions, and offends the
regulatory principle that the applicant should be expected to make its case fully with the
available information and should not be able to radically alter its case after the fact.
CSUA argued that Telesat could and should have raised its arguments in the proceeding
which led to Decision 97-17. CSUA further submitted that
the application upsets the regulatory bargain by punishing customers for Telesats
own mistake and by providing a windfall to Telesats investors.
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11. As discussed in section II.2 below, the
Commission considers that Telesat has failed to substantiate its claim that based on the
ROE used in the EES, the Space Segment should be expected to earn a 13.5% ROE on an
accounting statement basis.
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12. While Telesat has argued in this
proceeding that it is not earning an ROE which is consistent with ROEs of terrestrial
carriers, the Commission notes that the company has not proposed to abandon its approved
EES model nor has it furnished any financial information on the record of this proceeding
which is consistent with the financial information that the Commission has relied upon to
regulate terrestrial carriers i.e., annual information requirements consistent with rate
of return regulation.
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13. Furthermore, as discussed in section
II.3 below, the Commission finds that Telesats pro forma financial statement
information filed in this proceeding contains no theoretical support for, and does not
prove that the current EES model generates a downward systematic bias in terms of allowing
Telesat the opportunity to earn its allowed ROE. In the Commissions view, any
comparison between the ROEs of the EES and of the pro forma financial statements is
necessarily flawed due to the differences between the two methodologies which are not
intended to be compared. The Commission also considers that certain assumptions used in
the preparation of Telesats pro forma financial statements, which are discussed in
paragraphs 62, 63 and 64, are inconsistent with those inherent in the EES model.
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14. The Commission therefore considers that
Telesat has not demonstrated that there were errors in fact, or a failure to consider a
basic principle in Decision 97-17.
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15. Telesat submitted that
the independent evidence on international price comparisons provided in its application
demonstrates that Telesats satellite prices are among the lowest in the world. In
Telesats view, with the intensively competitive North American satellite services
market, profit margins are likely at the lowest acceptable level. As the comparative firms
are larger than Telesat, Telesat argued that these firms would likely enjoy the benefits
of superior economies of scale and other cost advantages, yet Telesats prices are
lower.
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16. CSUA claimed that Telesats new
evidence on international price comparisons does not demonstrate that any price
differentials are the result of the EES model. CSUA submitted that the price comparison
evidence has many shortcomings and weaknesses and is meaningless as other factors could
easily explain any differences.
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17. CSUA noted that: (1) any price is the
combination of the costs and demands faced by individual satellite operators and Telesat
does not provide any evidence on the different costs of operation amongst operators; (2)
the price comparison is not based on actual market transaction prices and important
customer specific terms are not provided; (3) most U.S. prices are individually negotiated
on a customer-specific basis; and (4) different jurisdictions will have different
regulatory goals.
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18. Telesats evidence of
international price comparisons consists of a market study that contains U.S. satellite
rates. The Commission agrees with CSUAs view that it is difficult to make
comparisons between the market study results and Telesats publicly tariffed rates.
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19. Telesats market study provides
average U.S. satellite rates by frequency band but does not identify particular satellite
operators. The contract terms corresponding to the rates, such as protection from
interruption and contract length, are not specified in the study.
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20. The Commission
considers that the market price study provided by Telesat cannot be used to conclude that
its EES model is producing wrong prices or low returns to investors. The Commission
therefore disagrees with Telesats claim that there is substantial doubt as to the
correctness of the Decision.
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21. CSUA also submitted that Telesats
arguments that the current EES model and the results flowing from Decision 97-17 are unfair to Telesat and its investors are simply
not borne out by the facts. CSUA noted that two new satellites are on order and submitted
that Bell Canada Enterprises Inc.s acquisition of all shares of Alouette
Telecommunications Inc. provides a clear demonstration that Telesat remains a good
investment value. CSUA claimed that Telesats business outlook has never looked
better.
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22. In light of the above and as detailed
in the following sections of this Decision, the Commission is of the view that Telesat has
not demonstrated that the Commission erred in fact or failed to consider a basic principle
in Decision 97-17, or that there is substantial doubt as
to the correctness of the Decision. The Commission therefore denies Telesats R&V
application.
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2. Detailed
Consideration of the EES Methodology and Use of Economic ROE
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23. Telesat indicated that while the
specifics of the rate setting models differ between Telesat and the terrestrial carriers,
the underlying objective of providing a reasonable opportunity to earn the allowed ROE on
a financial statement basis is exactly the same for Telesat as for terrestrial carriers.
Telesat also submitted that the treatment of Telesat under the current rate-setting model
is inconsistent with federal telecommunications policy promoting investment in
telecommunications infrastructure and the development of Canadian carriers which are
internationally competitive.
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24. Cancom and CSUA both
submitted that in fact, statements by the Commission and by Telesat in previous
proceedings make it clear that both the Commission and Telesat were well aware that the
discounted cash flow (DCF) model approach used in the EES and accounting methodologies
were not compatible. Cancom also submitted that, in endorsing the EES approach at
Telesats request in Telesat Canada - Final Rates for 14/12 GHz Satellite Service
and General Review of Revenue Requirements, Telecom Decision CRTC 84-9,
20 February 1984 (Decision 84-9), the Commission indicated that the EES approach is
different from the accounting models applied to other federally regulated carriers and
stated: "The Commission is of the view that, because of the unique nature of
Telesats operations, the approach to rate-setting utilized for the other federally
regulated telecommunications common carriers is not suitable for it. The approach
suggested by Telesat is, in the Commissions view, an appropriate response to the
special nature of its operations. Consequently, the Commission accepts that rates for
Telesats individual services should be established using economic evaluation studies
over a multi-year test period in contrast to the use of accounting costs for a single year
forward test period."
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25. Cancom submitted that a
cursory review of textbooks on financial analysis establishes that DCF and accounting
models are fundamentally different and do not give rise to compatible measures of rate of
return. Cancom submitted that this conclusion necessarily flows from critical differences
in the DCF and accounting approaches, and that most significantly, accounting models of
return ignore the time value of money and generate a series of returns for each accounting
statement period within the study period. Cancom further submitted that it is these
differences which explain the continued use of both DCF and accounting models and the
consistent preference of a DCF approach to measure the rate of return for multi-year
period investments.
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26. CSUA submitted that having adopted the
DCF model process, the Commission has consistently been clear that the data and results to
be used are economic and not accounting. There is also a recognition that the DCF model
inputs are not the same as accounting inputs.
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27. Moreover, Cancom and
CSUA cited instances in past proceedings where Telesat itself has objected to the filing
of pro forma financial statements for the Space Segment on the basis that these statements
were based on a number of simplifying assumptions and that the returns calculated from
these financial statements were not comparable to the EES results.
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28. CSUA also submitted that Telesat cannot
point to any decision or document which states that the purpose of the discussion on the
appropriate cost of equity for Telesats EES purposes is in fact to determine an
allowed average annual accounting ROE on its Space Segment business.
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29. In its reply comments, Telesat noted
that the pro forma financial statements in the R&V application are the representation
of the EES cash flows and thus do not necessarily conform to generally accepted accounting
principles (GAAP). However, Telesat submitted that its proposed financial representation
is correct and accurate.
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30. The Commission notes that
Telesats EES rate-setting framework, as proposed by Telesat in the proceeding
leading to Decision 84-9 and accepted by the Commission, was established in light of
Telesats unique nature of its operations. Pursuant to Decision 84-9, rates for
Telesats individual services are determined using a DCF approach over a multi-year
period, in contrast to the use of accounting costs for a single-year forward test period.
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31. The EES methodology employed by Telesat
to set its Space Segment rates is thoroughly documented in Telesats approved Phase
III Costing Manual. In the manual, ROE is defined as "the measure of the economic
return to shareholders". Accordingly, the EES model provides as output, the economic
rate of return on capital and the economic ROE, which equate to the weighted average cost
of capital and the allowed ROE at zero net present value.
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32. The Commission notes that Telesat
itself has on numerous occasions emphasized that the ROE used in the EES is a single
weighted measure of the economic return on equity over the study period.
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33. The Commission also notes the
weaknesses which have previously been cited by Telesat in providing ROE results for the
Space Segment on a stand-alone basis.
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34. The Commission considers that
Telesats assertion that the two ROE measures are the same has no foundation given
the framework established in Decision 84-9 as reflected in Telesats Phase III Manual
which specifies that rates are to yield a return established on the basis of an EES over a
multi-year study period.
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35. In light of the above, the Commission
considers that Telesat has failed to substantiate its claim that its Space Segment should
be expected to earn a 13.5% ROE on an accounting statement basis.
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36. Moreover, the Commission considers that
in order to determine whether rates would generate a 13.5% ROE on an accounting basis,
methodologies would have to be developed as they were for the terrestrial carriers to
calculate accounting ROEs. The rates for these terrestrial carriers have generally been
set in revenue requirement proceedings on the basis of financial statements that,
generally, are in compliance with GAAP. In the context of a revenue requirement, the
Commission also considers whether the accounting records are in compliance with directives
in Inquiry into Telecommunications Carriers Costing and Accounting Procedures -
Phase I: Accounting and Financial Matters, Telecom Decision CRTC 78-1, 13 January
1978.
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37. In the case of Telesat, since its Space
Segment is regulated on the basis of an EES methodology, the Commission notes that the
company has not been required to develop for approval a cost separation based on
accounting information, as has been required for terrestrial carriers. Consequently, it is
not possible, at this stage, to assess Telesats financial earnings on its Space
Segment on a stand-alone basis.
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3. Detailed
Consideration of the Evidence to Demonstrate Flaws in the EES
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38. Telesat submitted that
the ROE calculated on a pro forma financial statement basis from the cash flows of
Telesats EES model results in an ROE much lower than the 13.5% cost of equity used
as an input in the EES model. According to Telesat, this result establishes that the use
of Telesats DCF EES model produces a downward systematic bias in the accounting
results and thus prevents the company from achieving its allowed ROE of 13.5%.
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3.1
Conceptual Link Between the Economic ROE and Pro Forma Financial ROE
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39. Telesats proposed pro forma
financial statements generate a series of returns (i.e., net earnings) for each year
within the study period based on the cash flows determined from the DCF EES model. While
these financial statements are based on cash flows from the EES, they rely on accounting
translations of these cash flows and reflect estimates of depreciation expense and
earnings from the re-investment of cash generated.
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40. From the pro forma financial
statements, Telesat calculated the annual ROE using the earnings for each year and the
common equity at the beginning of the year. Telesat proposed to calculate the average
return for the study period using the arithmetic average of the annual financial statement
returns.
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41. Telesat submitted that it has developed
a theoretical model consisting of a DCF model and a corresponding set of financial
statements that establishes a link between the input of a certain cost of equity in the
DCF and the achievement of an average ROE in the financial statements that is equivalent
to the cost of equity. Telesat submitted that this link does indeed exist, and that the
EES, modified to reflect Telesats proposed assumptions, can continue to be used for
rate-setting purposes.
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42. Telesat submitted that the interveners
are incorrect in asserting that there can be no link between the allowed ROE used in the
EES and the ROE calculated in the financial statements determined from the EES cash flows.
Telesat submitted that the article that is submitted by Ezra Solomon sheds light on why
the two approaches are often used for different purposes and may provide different
results, but that a link does indeed exist if the framework is properly structured.
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43. While Cancom stated that it is merely
coincidental if the achieved accounting ROE is equivalent to the cost of equity in the EES
model, Telesat claimed that, in fact, without the establishment and maintenance of the
strict conditions that link the two models, it is unlikely that the results will align,
and this is the essence of Telesats application.
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44. Telesat also noted that the interveners
have attempted to link these financial statements to a series of interrogatories requested
over several past proceedings where Telesat was requested to split the companys
aggregate financial statement projections into Space and Non-Space Segments. Telesat
submitted that this artificial split required making a number of arbitrary assumptions
which could easily skew the results. Telesat further noted that the cash flows in the
Space Segment as a result of this split do not in any way tie to the EES cash flows.
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45. Cancom submitted that Telesat has not
provided any evidence to establish how it has managed to defy financial theory and produce
an accounting statement model which generates rates of return that are comparable to EES
results or in any way relevant to the evaluation of the EES results.
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46. Cancom further noted that Telesat has
not filed any expert evidence in this proceeding which would dispute the conclusions in
its own expert testimony prepared by D.A. Ford and Associates Ltd. Cancom submitted that
in fact, the only theoretical evidence provided by Telesat is the 1970 article by Ezra
Solomon.
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47. Cancom further
submitted that Solomons article demonstrates that accounting and DCF rates of return
will be equivalent only if the company grows during the life of the asset or project at a
rate which is equal to the rate of return. Cancom submitted that in these and only these
circumstances, the accounting and DCF measures of return will be equal. Cancom submitted
that this condition is clearly not met for Telesat.
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48. Cancom submitted that
Telesat presumes that a simple, unweighted average of annual accounting rates of return is
appropriate based, apparently, on the view that there is no evidence to suggest that a
weighted average ROE is more appropriate than a simple average. Cancom argued that this is
not a compelling response, particularly when Telesats Phase III Manual clearly
indicates that the EES ROE is a weighted economic average measure of return - not a simple
unweighted average of annual returns over the study period.
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49. CSUA submitted that Telesats
basic premise that the EES results should provide for an average annual accounting ROE
over the study period equal to the ROE parameter in the EES model, is flawed, and that the
end result is the co-mingling of economic and accounting data to force a result that suits
Telesats financial objectives.
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50. CSUA submitted that Telesat itself has
recognized that it cannot reliably produce pro forma financial statements for the Space
Segment, as past attempts to produce statements have been described by Telesat as
artificial and as based on improper assumptions.
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51. CSUA further submitted
that regardless of the validity of any pro forma financial statement, the calculation of
the average accounting ROE over the study period is in itself an arbitrary process, as
demonstrated by the different averaging methods possible, and given that viewing
accounting ROEs on the basis of year by year results is most consistent with how the
financial community assesses performance and trends in companies.
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52. The Commission notes
the strong case presented by Cancoms expert evidence, to dispute Telesats
proposal to establish links between the economic ROE measure from the DCF model and the
average annual ROE taken from the pro forma financial statement.
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53. Consistent with Cancoms expert
opinion, the Commission considers that the pro forma financial statement ROE measure
ignores the time value of money, and that an average ROE calculated on the basis of
arithmetic averages of annual financial returns over the study period, cannot be expected
to be equivalent to a weighted economic average DCF ROE measure over the same study
period.
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54. In light of the above,
the Commission considers that from a conceptual standpoint, there is no valid basis to
support Telesats claim that a link exists between the ROE measures of the EES and
the corresponding ROE on a pro forma financial statement basis.
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3.2
Assessment of Telesats Evidence to Demonstrate Flaws in the EES
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55. Telesat submitted that the rate-setting
DCF EES model, in its current form, has systematic errors and is flawed. In support of its
submission, Telesat filed four DCF models (models A1, A2, A3 and A4) and corresponding
financial statements in "Exhibit A - Theoretical Model" of its R&V
application. Telesat submitted that its theoretical model A1, under strict conditions,
establishes the conceptual link between the input of a certain cost of equity in the DCF
model and the achievement of an average ROE in the pro forma financial statement ROE that
is equivalent to the cost of equity.
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56. Telesat further
submitted that when the specific formulae and assumptions from Telesats EES model
are substituted into its theoretical model A1, this results into a reduced ROE of 10.8% on
the pro forma financial statements. Telesat submitted that this result establishes that
the assumptions in the EES model bias the ROE downward and will not permit the allowable
ROE to be achieved.
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57. Telesat also indicated that the above
results are further echoed by the financial statement results of Decision 97-17 cash flows as filed in "Exhibit B - Decision 97-17" of its R&V application, i.e., when the
theoretical methodology established in Exhibit A is applied to the cash flows of Decision 97-17, this results into a pro forma statement average ROE
of only 10.6%.
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58. Cancom submitted that
Telesat has failed to provide any basis for its presumption that the particular pro forma
financial statements provided in its R&V application, rather than the numerous other
financial statement representations of Space Segment activities, each of which produce
different rates of return, should provide the basis for determining Telesats RF
Channel Service rates. Cancom submitted that Telesats EES-based financial statements
have neither theoretical nor practical merit, as they represent ad hoc co-mingling of EES
and accounting-based variables and do not reflect the kind of financial statements that
are reviewed by investors and financial analysts.
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59. Cancom argued that the
accounting statements filed in Telesats R&V application are based on simple
assumptions which are clearly inconsistent with the assumptions in the EES. Cancom claimed
that the clearest example of this is the use of inconsistent capital structures in the
financial statements and the EES. As noted by Cancoms expert, Telesat has used a
cost of capital for the entire period which is based on a capital structure of 65% debt
and 35% equity, but in the accounting statements it has assumed that the debt is paid off
over the study period, resulting in a capital structure of 100% equity by the end of the
10-year period. In Cancoms view, Telesats use of inconsistent capital
structures undermines the validity of any comparison between the financial statement and
EES rates of return.
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60. Cancom submitted that in addition to
the numerous possible financial statement representations of Telesats Space Segment
operations, each of which will generate a different set of ROEs, there are also a
multiplicity of methods that can be used to aggregate the annual financial statement rates
of return over the study period. Cancom further noted that as Telesats responses to
various interrogatories indicate, the aggregate ROE over the study period varies
significantly depending on the averaging method used to calculate it. Cancom further
submitted that, in many cases, the weighted average ROE generated from the financial
statements filed by Telesat in its R&V application, is higher than Telesats
target ROE of 13.5%.
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61. CSUA submitted that the
flaws in Telesats arguments described in Cancoms expert evidence are serious
enough to make the statements unreliable for determining the accounting results of the
Space Segment rates over the study period.
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62. The Commission notes
that Telesats evidence to demonstrate the alleged linkage between the EES ROE and
the corresponding pro forma financial statement ROE relies on Telesats proposed DCF
model A1 of Exhibit A, which calculates income tax shields based on annual depreciation
expense. The Commission considers that this assumption is inconsistent with proper
economic costing and evaluation, which instead rely on the allowable capital cost
allowance (CCA) claims available to the company to calculate the tax shield impact.
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63. The Commission also considers that
there are numerous assumptions built into Telesats pro forma financial statement
methodologies associated with its proposed theoretical models that are inconsistent with
the assumptions inherent to the DCF EES model, such as the omission of the effects of
compounding within a year, the use of a variable debt/equity ratio over the study period,
the repayment of debt over the 10-year study period instead of over the life of the
investment, and the use of the opening equity balance in the percentage ROE calculation in
each year rather than an average annual equity balance.
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64. The Commission notes that in arriving
at the pro forma financial statement representation of the Decision 97-17 cash flows in Exhibit B, Telesat has assumed a delay
in the use of the CCA tax shields to the year where the company has sufficient earnings to
make use of them. The Commission further notes that the pro forma financial statement of
Exhibit B includes such additional assumptions as the use of net book values for the
opening values of the Anik C and D satellites.
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65. The Commission
considers that Telesats proposed pro forma financial statement representation of
Decision 97-17 EES cash flows: (1) relies on several pro
forma assumptions that are not consistent with those implicit in the EES model;
(2) combines accounting and economic concepts in a manner that produces results that
are not supported by economic or financial theory; and (3) are not consistent with
generally accepted accounting principles.
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66. In light of the above,
the Commission does not consider that Telesats proposed pro forma financial
statement representation of the Decision 97-17 cash
flows provides persuasive evidence to demonstrate that Telesats EES model produces a
downward systematic bias in the Space Segments financial ROE results.
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3.3
Telesats Three Proposed Adjustments
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67. Telesat submitted that
the consistent downward bias in the financial ROE results presented in its evidence is
attributable to the treatment of three principal factors: (1) present value factors, which
incorporate monthly compounding, are inconsistent with the performance measurement based
on annual financial statements; (2) satellite salvage values derived using an amortization
method are significantly higher than those used for accounting purposes because an
inappropriate proportion of capital recovery is left to the subsequent study period; and
(3) the timing of tax shielding assumes that the benefits are received by Telesat earlier
than possible.
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68. Despite what is characterized as
methodological inconsistencies in the current EES model, Telesat submitted that it has not
proposed abandonment of this DCF model for rate setting purposes, but rather, is of the
view that the best course of action to address the ROE shortfall is to retain the current
DCF EES model, subject to certain narrowly focused revisions which will remove these
inconsistencies, and thereby provide Telesat with a reasonable opportunity to earn its
allowed ROE on a financial statement basis.
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3.3.1 The Present Value Factors
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69. Telesat submitted that ROE is a measure
of annual performance as determined on financial statements and the annual cash flows that
are recorded in annual financial statements are not discounted within the year for the
purposes of calculating ROE. Telesat further submitted that the application in the Telesat
rating model does not provide for a 13.5% ROE in the same way that it was determined in
the process used to arrive at the rate, and that in order for the 13.5% ROE to be
achieved, the use of annual compounding is appropriate and necessary.
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70. Telesat also submitted
that in using monthly discounting factors, the EES model imposes an assumption of monthly
reinvestment on Telesat while other carriers use an annual period. Telesat noted that,
however, both itself and the telephone companies collect their revenues monthly. Telesat
also submitted that the reinvestment assumption which it has presented in its pro forma
financial statements is much more conservative than that applied to the telephone
companies rate-setting process. Telesat further submitted that in its case, all cash
has been assumed to be reinvested at a before-tax rate of 23.9%, in contrast to the
reporting of actual interest income for the telephone companies.
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71. Cancom submitted that Telesats
application challenges core aspects of the DCF model that has been used to set
Telesats rates for RF Channel Services since 1979 including, most notably, the
discounting of recurring and non-recurring cash flows. Cancom submitted that the use of
present value factors in the EES represents a fundamental difference between discounted
cash flow and accounting measures of return.
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72. Cancom submitted that the formulae for
the present value factors which are set out in Telesats Phase III Manual have been
expressly designed to reflect the timing of exact cash flows to Telesats Space
Segment operations. Cancom submitted that the EES approach, therefore, provides a more
accurate measure of the true monetary impact of cash flows occurring during the study
period than annual financial statements, which assume that all income and expenses are
incurred at either the beginning or end of the year.
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73. CSUA supported
Cancoms arguments noting that the academic references all indicate that the concept
of time value of money is the key distinguishing characteristic between accounting
analysis and DCF or economic analysis, and that in this one change, Telesat has departed
so significantly from the DCF principles to make the revised EES model useless.
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74. The Commission agrees with
Cancoms view that, given that Telesats rates for RF Channel Services are
determined based on a DCF model including, most notably, the discounting of recurring and
non-recurring cash flows, the use of present value factors in the EES represents a
fundamental difference between discounted cash flow and accounting measures of return.
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75. The Commission notes
that Telesats Phase III Manual has been designed to reflect the precise timing and
nature of cash flows to Telesats Space Segment operations. For instance, a different
time-value conversion factor is applied to the revenues which are assumed to be received
at the beginning of the month, in contrast with expenses which are assumed to be paid out
at the end of the month. Under this approved approach, the Space Segments revenue
and expense cash flows are inputted into the EES and exclude the monthly compounding
effects of the net cash flows since these are calculated automatically by the EES model.
The Commission considers that this practice, which recognizes the time value of money
through monthly present value factors, provides an accurate and appropriate measure of the
economic impact of cash flows occurring during the study period.
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76. The Commission considers that no
persuasive evidence has been brought forth to justify any changes to this EES methodology
and is of the view that no adjustments to the EES model are necessary to account for this
factor.
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3.3.2
The Salvage Value Factor
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77. Telesat submitted that
the EES salvage values for the satellites, which are derived using an amortization method,
do not permit Telesat to recover the full value of the assets during the study period.
Telesat submitted that the unamortized salvage values are significantly higher than those
used for accounting purposes because an inappropriate proportion of capital recovery is
allocated to the subsequent study period. Telesat further submitted that the net book
value (NBV) approach is justified because it aligns the investment base in the EES more
closely to the investment on which investors are permitted to earn an accounting rate of
return.
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78. Cancom submitted that
the uniform amortization approach, which is used in the EES to calculate the salvage or
terminal value of the Space Segment satellite assets and is described in Telesats
Phase III Manual, has been the subject of detailed consideration by the Commission. Unlike
an NBV approach, the uniform amortization approach recognizes the time value of money.
Cancom noted that the uniform amortization approach was implemented at the express request
of Telesat, in order to ensure that investments made by Telesat prior to the commencement
of the study period would be recognized in the EES.
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79. In Telesat Canada -
Final Rates for 6/4 GHz Satellite Service and Valuation of Plant Investment for Economic
Evaluation Studies, Telecom Decision CRTC 85-11, 27
June 1985, in accepting Telesats proposal for the valuation of its investment in
plant, the Commission stated: "Both in this proceeding and the one which led to
Decision 85-10, Telesat proposed that an amortization
approach be used for the valuation of investment made prior to the commencement of the
test period. An amortization approach recognizes the time value of money, unlike a net
book value approach which employs original cost less accumulated depreciation in
estimating the value of investment. ... The Commission is of the view that, insofar as
Telesat is concerned, an amortization approach is more equitable than a net book value
approach for developing an estimate of the economic value of investment in plant made
prior to the commencement of a multi-year test period, and has concluded that it should be
adopted for each of Telesats services for both the valuation of prior investment and
the valuation of investment remaining at the end of a multi-year test period. ...
Accordingly, the Commission has adopted an amortization approach whereby the estimate of
economic value is independent of previous actual revenues and expenses. Under this
approach, a uniform monthly equivalent cost is determined which will amortize the amount
of the investment over the service life of the asset. At any time during the service life
of the asset, the unamortized value is the present worth of the remaining monthly
equivalent costs..."
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80. CSUA submitted that the use of the NBV
approach weakens the EES model. CSUA submitted that the Commission has already denied the
introduction of accounting depreciation into the EES model when dealing with the treatment
of Telesats headquarters building, in Telesat Canada - Request to Review and Vary
Portions of Telecom Decision CRTC 90-28, Telecom Decision CRTC 91-22, 19 December
1991.
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81. CSUA further submitted
that in the proceeding initiated by Phase II Costing Issues, Telecom Public Notice
CRTC 95-19, 20 April 1995, Stentor Resource Centre Inc.
argued against the use of the NBV approach for economic purposes noting that the NBV
approach is not prospective in nature, does not use economic principles, and its use can
distort expenditure cost information resulting in incorrect economic studies.
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82. The Commission notes
that it has previously ruled against the introduction of accounting depreciation into the
EES model. The Commission considers that no persuasive evidence has been brought forth to
justify any changes to the approved plant valuation methodology and is of the view that no
adjustments to the EES model are necessary to account for this factor.
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3.3.3
The Tax-shielding Factor
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83. Telesat indicated that
its proposal to adjust the treatment of tax shielding in the EES is required in order to
reflect the actual time when the Space Segment can take advantage of the tax shields.
Telesat submitted that this proposal is further consistent with the alternative method of
calculating tax shielding separately, which is stipulated at page 68 of Telesats
Phase III Manual. The relevant passage reads: "The company employs a summary method
of calculating revenue requirements by flowing through full tax shielding in the year the
capital expenditure, revenues or expenses occur. This method eliminates the need to
calculate tax effects separately. An alternative approach that would also yield acceptable
results, and may indeed be preferable if the tax impacts are seriously out of phase with
the assumptions, would be to calculate and incorporate tax effects separately."
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84. Cancom submitted that
while it does not object, in principle, to the application of the alternative approach to
recognizing tax shields in the EES as set forth in Telesats Phase III Manual, Cancom
does not believe that Telesats argument in respect of tax shielding satisfies the
test for a R&V. In particular, Cancom noted that Telesat has not provided any
indication as to why it failed to pursue the alternative approach to incorporating tax
shields in the EES during the proceeding leading to Decision 97-17,
and since Decision 97-17 reflects the evidence filed by Telesat in the proceeding with
respect to tax shielding, the Commission cannot be said to have erred, on the basis of the
facts before it, in utilizing the summary approach to incorporating tax shields in the EES
in the Decision.
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85. Cancom further noted that the evidence
on the record also does not establish the impact of the change in approach to tax
shielding on Telesats revenue requirement. Cancom submitted that although Telesat
has discussed the impact of the change in approach to tax shielding on the average annual
ROEs computed from the pro forma financial statements, it would be necessary to
recalculate the EES using the revised approach to tax shielding to show that the net
present value resulting from the Decision 97-17 revenues
is negative and/or that a change in rates would be required to achieve Telesats
target ROE of 13.5%. Cancom argued that in the circumstances, Telesat has clearly failed
to establish that review and variance of the treatment of tax shields in Decision 97-17 is warranted.
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86. Cancom and CSUA both submitted that
Telesat had ample opportunity to consider the effects of the summary approach to tax
shielding and to propose use of an alternative mechanism for dealing with tax shields
during the proceeding leading to Decision 97-17 and
chose not to. CSUA submitted that Telesat cannot now come forward and change its position
on this matter in a way which undermines Decision 97-17.
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87. CSUA noted that
Telesats solution is to incorporate the estimated EES income tax expense as a
separate EES cash flow and that the impact of this change is again to increase the revenue
requirement for the Space Segment. CSUA submitted that despite Telesats argument
that the tax shielding treatment in the EES causes a mismatch in timing as to when the
benefits are actually received, Telesat has been able to use all the tax shields available
to it on a company-wide basis. CSUA submitted that the assumption that tax treatment can
be modelled on the Space Segment alone is an artifice. This is one area where the ability
to use tax shields is a corporate matter and as long as the benefits are used up by
Telesat, no adjustment is required. This position is supported by the reality that the Income
Tax Act requires that all transactions per corporate entity be determined together to
arrive at the income tax liability.
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88. The Commission notes
Telesats reliance on a quotation from page 68 of the Net Present Value section of
the Phase III Costing Manual. This section provides details on the various formulae used
to calculate the EES results and indicates that there is a provision to calculate tax
effects separately if the tax impacts are seriously out of phase with the assumptions. The
Commission considers that this passage is simply intended to recognize that the EES income
tax shields can be calculated explicitly for each time period, consistent with the Phase
II costing methods and practices used by most terrestrial carriers, and was not intended
to imply that an alternative method deviating from Phase II principles could be used.
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89. The Commission also
notes that the method of calculating the income tax shield is clearly stipulated at page
42 of the Capital Resources section of the Phase III Costing Manual which states:
"For EES purposes, the capital cash flow is recognized when the asset is put into
service and the tax shielding is recognized at the same time. Both the capital cash flow
and the associated tax shielding are present valued to the beginning of the year in which
the expenditure occurs to facilitate calculation of the results. This occurs whether or
not the company is in a position to use the tax shielding at the time." A footnote at
the bottom of page 42 further states that the tax shielding formula assumes that the
income tax payable component is assumed to occur in 12 even monthly amounts and is already
present-valued to the beginning of the year. From the above passage, the Commission
considers that it is quite clear which method is to be used to calculate the income tax
shields. The Commission notes that this approved method does not allow for the alternate
tax calculation advanced by Telesat in its R&V application, which would not recognize
the tax shielding from the time the asset is put into service if the company is not in a
position to use the tax shielding at the time.
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90. The Commission
considers that Telesat has not presented a persuasive rationale for deviating from the EES
tax-shielding methodology clearly set out in its own Phase III Costing Manual.
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3.4
Telesats Proposed Modifications to the EES and Rates
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91. Telesat submitted that,
having identified the methodologies in the current EES that produce a downward systematic
bias in the accounting ROE results, appropriate results can be achieved through narrowly
focused modifications to the current EES model to correct for the rate-setting anomalies.
In "Exhibit C - Proposed Modifications" of its R&V application, Telesat
filed its proposed revised EES model. Telesat submitted that this revised EES will address
the three principle methodological inconsistencies identified in its theoretical models.
Telesat noted that it is not proposing the abandonment of the DCF EES model, or
criticizing DCF methodologies in general.
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92. CSUA submitted that
Telesats adjustments to the EES seek to lump together incompatible accounting and
economic concepts done without theoretical basis and in a manner which produces
meaningless results. To accede to Telesats position would fundamentally undermine
the integrity of Telesats regulatory regime that has been applied over many years.
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93. Cancom submitted that
the ad hoc adjustment of three (among numerous) inconsistencies between the assumptions
used in the EES and the pro forma financial statements filed by Telesat in the R&V
application is completely unprincipled and will yield meaningless results. Cancom
indicated that the mere existence of a difference between the EES and these accounting
statement assumptions is not a basis for R&V or alteration of the EES. Furthermore,
the three revisions proposed by Telesat relate to differences between the EES and
accounting statements which are not only widely recognized, but have also been the subject
of detailed consideration by the Commission.
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94. The Commission notes
that in the proposed financial statement representation of the adjusted EES model in
Exhibit C, Telesat has introduced additional assumptions to those of its models provided
in Exhibits A and B. Such assumptions include the substitution of the NBVs of the Anik E
satellites for the end-of-study unamortized balances of the EES and the shifting of the
in-service date of the Anik E satellites during the first year of the study period back to
the start of the year along with corresponding adjustments for Allowance for Funds used
during Construction.
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95. As discussed in section
II.3.2 above, the Commission does not consider that Telesats pro forma financial
statement evidence, provided in Exhibits A and B of its R&V application, provides
persuasive evidence that Telesats EES model produces a downward systematic bias in
the accounting ROE results. In sections II.3.3.1, II.3.3.2 and II.3.3.3 of this Decision,
the Commission further concludes that no adjustments to the EES are necessary to account
for the three factors: present value factors, salvage value, and tax shielding. The
Commission also considers that Telesats proposed rate adjustments to the EES further
seek to combine incompatible accounting and economic concepts without theoretical basis
and in a manner that produces inconclusive results. The Commission therefore finds the
proposed rate adjustments to be inappropriate.
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iii DISPOSITION IS POSITION OF CANCUM'S REQUEST FOR RATE ADJUSTMENTS FROM
1 JANUARY TO 9 FEBRUARY 1998
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96. In its submission, Cancom argued that
the 7% rate reduction required in Decision 97-17 should
be extended back from its effective date of 9 February 1998 to 1 January 1998,
the original date the reduction was to go into place. Cancom submitted that to do
otherwise would result in windfall profits for Telesat.
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97. The Commission notes
that rates were made final effective 9 February 1998 in the Decision which denied
Telesats stay application. As noted in that Decision, denial of the stay would not
preclude the Commission from varying the rates back to 1 January 1998 in the event that it
decided to review and vary Decision 97-17. However,
given that rates are final, effective 9 February 1998, and that it has determined that
Decision 97-17 should not be varied, the Commission
considers that a rate reduction back to 1 January 1998 is not possible. Accordingly,
Cancoms request is denied.
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IV DISPOSITION OF CANCOM'S
SUMMARY DISMISSAL APPLICATION
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98. On 27 February 1998, Cancom filed
an application for summary dismissal of Telesats application to review and vary
Decision 97-17. Cancom characterized Telesats
R&V application as frivolous and vexatious, noting that Telesat is seeking to revise
the regulatory framework set for the company, review and vary the Commissions
decisions regarding the company over a 20-year period, and deviate from a rate-setting
model which uses the principles of discounted cash flows.
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99. The Commission notes
that in rendering a decision on the merits of Telesats application, Cancoms
application is moot.
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Laura M. Talbot-Allan
Secretary General
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This document is available in
alternative format upon request.
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