Market Insights

The Canadian market is adjusting to online providers that leverage investments in content, data analytics and user experiences on a global scale.

Read time: approx. 4 min

The Competitive Landscape

Market Insight 12. Digital players have spurred disruption, but traditional players are still in the game.
Audio market Video market

While online services have turned the media ecosystem on its head with increased accessibility, flexibility and low pricing, they must also grapple with ingrained consumer habits. This means trying new tactics, like offering curated radio stations in addition to on-demand music, auto-playing the next video to keep viewers binge-watching and now even offering linear TV channels online that mirror those of traditional TV providers. At the same time, traditional players maintain a relatively stable position from which they can make investments to develop competitive responses to the benefits offered by digital disruptors, such as through low-cost subscription options and online delivery of traditional services. While we expect the continued launch of online services to keep the competitive pressure on, driving innovation across the board, traditional TV and radio services still have a dominant share of revenues in the market, at least for now.

Figure 32: Traditional TV services are forecast to maintain a dominant share of revenues

Share Source: Ovum
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Figure 33: Online audio revenues are growing but remain a small share of the audio market

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Source: CRTC estimates (CRTC data collection; Sirius XM publicly available financial statements; Ovum; MTM consumer data)
Note
  • Includes CBC/SRC.
  • Revenues from music video streaming are excluded.
  • Revenues for satellite radio were obtained from publicly available annual reports.
  • English-language AM/FM radio figures include services broadcasting in third languages.
  • Splits by language markets for satellite radio, online audio and transactional online audio are estimated based on MTM data.
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Figure 34: Online video revenues are growing but remain a small share of the video market

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Source: CRTC estimates (CRTC data collection; Ovum; MTM consumer data)
Note
  • Includes CBC/SRC.
  • Includes revenues from music video streaming.
  • The figures provided by BDUs operating outside of the province of Quebec are used as a proxy for the English-language market. The figures provided by BDUs operating in the province of Quebec are used as a proxy for the French-language market.
  • English-language conventional TV as well as BDU and discretionary services include services that broadcast in third languages.
  • Splits by language markets for online video, user-uploaded and transactional online video are estimated based on MTM data.
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Market Insight 13. Pure-play online competitors harness global reach.
Audio market Video market

Unconstrained by legacy media businesses, pure-play online media companies—those with no stake in traditional radio or television businesses—are harnessing the global reach of the Internet to spur growth. This global scope is driving unprecedented investments in content budgets, user-interfaces and discoverability algorithms, which is raising consumer expectations. This gives online providers an advantage because this scale may not be possible for legacy services to replicate domestically or even through international partnerships. Although it may be difficult for domestic services to replicate the content budgets and global reach of pure-play digital services, these online services have taught domestic players important lessons about the need for more effective approaches to user-interfaces, discoverability algorithms and data collection.

Figure 35

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Netflix has 110+ million subscribers and is available in over 190 countries around the world.

Source: Netflix (Subscribers; countries available)

Figure 36

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Spotify has 170+ million active users and 70+ million paying subscribers, and is available in over 65 countries around the world.

Source: Spotify

Market Insight 14. Existing TV program rights markets will be difficult to untangle.
Video market

U.S. studios still dominate investment in TV content. These investments rely on the segmentation of content rights across a global network of distributors and services. While it is possible that U.S. rights holders will go directly to consumers online in the same way that their pure-play competitors do, untangling longstanding business relationships and long-term content supply agreements between these U.S. rights holders and their global partners—all of whom need to protect their own interests—will prove challenging in practice and may take years. This challenge will be compounded as online services start to bolster their on-demand content offerings with existing linear TV channels that are geographically restricted. Some examples are the U.S.-only launch of online TV subscription services such as YouTube TV, Hulu, DirecTV Now and SlingTV.

Figure 37: U.S. networks outspend pure-play digital services

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U.S. studios/networks: US $ 36 billion
Pure-play digital: US $ 11 billion

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Source: Recode (MoffetNathanson)

Note: Hulu is owned by Disney, NBCU and Fox.

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Market Insight 15. Virtual TV service providers are stemming cord cutting in the U.S.
Video market

The online TV market in the U.S. is expanding beyond on-demand services to include linear TV channels. Hulu, YouTube TV, DirecTV Now, Sling TV and others are offering online TV services that resemble and compete with traditional cable TV. The broadcast and cable network channels, which are overwhelmingly owned by U.S. studios, are supportive of the online distribution of their channels since it helps them retain subscribers. This shift isn’t happening in Canada. Canadian distributors, which are largely vertically integrated with broadcast channels, may not have the same motivations to offer these channels to competing online distributors.

Figure 38: Virtual TV service providers are stemming cord cutting losses in the United States

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Source: Recode (MoffetNathanson)
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Figure 39: Canada's TV landscape is dominated by a few players

Share Source: CRTC data collection

Note: Discretionary includes on-demand revenues.

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